Central Michigan at New Mexico -- NCAA Week 1, September 6, 2026.
Model prediction: New Mexico favored by 13.7, projected total 38.0 points, 78.3% win probability for New Mexico.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: New Mexico -10.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -8.5, 25th percentile: +2.0, 50th percentile: +13.5, 75th percentile: +25.1, 90th percentile: +35.6. Total points 10th percentile: 16.2, 25th percentile: 26.5, 50th percentile: 37.8, 75th percentile: 49.2, 90th percentile: 59.5.
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