Florida Atlantic at Florida -- NCAA Week 1, September 5, 2026.
Model prediction: Florida favored by 15.1, projected total 61.4 points, 80.4% win probability for Florida.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: Florida -27.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -6.8, 25th percentile: +3.9, 50th percentile: +15.5, 75th percentile: +26.8, 90th percentile: +37.5. Total points 10th percentile: 40.1, 25th percentile: 50.1, 50th percentile: 61.2, 75th percentile: 72.5, 90th percentile: 82.6.
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