Florida International at South Florida -- NCAA Week 1, September 5, 2026.
Model prediction: South Florida favored by 13.2, projected total 77.8 points, 77.4% win probability for South Florida.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Market spread: South Florida -13.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -9.3, 25th percentile: +1.5, 50th percentile: +13.4, 75th percentile: +24.8, 90th percentile: +35.6. Total points 10th percentile: 56.2, 25th percentile: 66.6, 50th percentile: 77.7, 75th percentile: 88.9, 90th percentile: 98.9.
Read the full plain-text report for this game, including every player prop projection.
See how this prediction is calculated and how accurate the model has been.