Northern Illinois at Iowa -- NCAA Week 1, September 5, 2026.
Model prediction: Iowa favored by 25.6, projected total 42.4 points, 91.6% win probability for Iowa.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Market spread: Iowa -31.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: +3.9, 25th percentile: +14.2, 50th percentile: +25.7, 75th percentile: +37.2, 90th percentile: +47.7. Total points 10th percentile: 21.1, 25th percentile: 31.0, 50th percentile: 42.5, 75th percentile: 53.8, 90th percentile: 64.1.
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