Boston College at Cincinnati -- NCAA Week 1, September 5, 2026.
Model prediction: Cincinnati favored by 7.2, projected total 54.7 points, 66.3% win probability for Cincinnati.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Market spread: Cincinnati -7.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -15.3, 25th percentile: -4.3, 50th percentile: +7.3, 75th percentile: +18.8, 90th percentile: +29.7. Total points 10th percentile: 33.0, 25th percentile: 43.2, 50th percentile: 54.8, 75th percentile: 65.8, 90th percentile: 75.4.
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