Baylor at Auburn -- NCAA Week 1, September 5, 2026.
Model prediction: Auburn favored by 5.4, projected total 50.8 points, 62.4% win probability for Auburn.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Market spread: Auburn -7.0.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -16.5, 25th percentile: -6.0, 50th percentile: +5.2, 75th percentile: +17.0, 90th percentile: +27.8. Total points 10th percentile: 29.3, 25th percentile: 39.6, 50th percentile: 51.0, 75th percentile: 62.3, 90th percentile: 72.7.
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