Liberty at James Madison -- NCAA Week 1, September 5, 2026.
Model prediction: James Madison favored by 21.8, projected total 71.4 points, 88.5% win probability for James Madison.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Market spread: James Madison -6.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -1.1, 25th percentile: +9.7, 50th percentile: +21.5, 75th percentile: +33.1, 90th percentile: +43.8. Total points 10th percentile: 49.7, 25th percentile: 60.0, 50th percentile: 71.2, 75th percentile: 82.8, 90th percentile: 93.6.
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