Oregon State at Houston -- NCAA Week 1, September 5, 2026.
Model prediction: Houston favored by 22.8, projected total 47.2 points, 89.4% win probability for Houston.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Market spread: Houston -20.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: +1.1, 25th percentile: +11.8, 50th percentile: +23.3, 75th percentile: +34.8, 90th percentile: +45.6. Total points 10th percentile: 26.1, 25th percentile: 36.1, 50th percentile: 47.5, 75th percentile: 58.6, 90th percentile: 69.0.
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