Coastal Carolina at West Virginia -- NCAA Week 1, September 5, 2026.
Model prediction: West Virginia favored by 3.5, projected total 65.3 points, 58.0% win probability for West Virginia.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Market spread: West Virginia -21.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -18.9, 25th percentile: -8.2, 50th percentile: +2.8, 75th percentile: +14.8, 90th percentile: +25.8. Total points 10th percentile: 44.0, 25th percentile: 53.9, 50th percentile: 65.5, 75th percentile: 76.6, 90th percentile: 86.8.
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