Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh -- NCAA Week 1, September 5, 2026.
Model prediction: Pittsburgh favored by 10.0, projected total 50.6 points, 71.8% win probability for Pittsburgh.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: Pittsburgh -16.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -12.4, 25th percentile: -1.8, 50th percentile: +10.1, 75th percentile: +21.7, 90th percentile: +32.0. Total points 10th percentile: 28.9, 25th percentile: 39.2, 50th percentile: 50.4, 75th percentile: 61.6, 90th percentile: 72.2.
Read the full plain-text report for this game, including every player prop projection.
See how this prediction is calculated and how accurate the model has been.