North Texas at Indiana -- NCAA Week 1, September 5, 2026.
Model prediction: Indiana favored by 22.0, projected total 59.8 points, 88.7% win probability for Indiana.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: Indiana -40.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -0.1, 25th percentile: +10.4, 50th percentile: +22.1, 75th percentile: +33.5, 90th percentile: +44.0. Total points 10th percentile: 37.7, 25th percentile: 48.2, 50th percentile: 59.7, 75th percentile: 70.9, 90th percentile: 81.4.
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