UTEP at Oklahoma -- NCAA Week 1, September 5, 2026.
Model prediction: Oklahoma favored by 27.2, projected total 45.4 points, 92.7% win probability for Oklahoma.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Market spread: Oklahoma -41.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: +5.0, 25th percentile: +15.8, 50th percentile: +27.4, 75th percentile: +39.1, 90th percentile: +49.5. Total points 10th percentile: 23.9, 25th percentile: 34.2, 50th percentile: 45.7, 75th percentile: 57.0, 90th percentile: 67.0.
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