San José State at Eastern Michigan -- NCAA Week 1, September 4, 2026.
Model prediction: Eastern Michigan favored by 11.3, projected total 53.5 points, 74.3% win probability for Eastern Michigan.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Market spread: Eastern Michigan -3.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -11.1, 25th percentile: -0.4, 50th percentile: +11.0, 75th percentile: +22.9, 90th percentile: +33.1. Total points 10th percentile: 32.5, 25th percentile: 42.6, 50th percentile: 53.9, 75th percentile: 65.1, 90th percentile: 75.6.
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